Pakistan witnesses a decline of approximately Rs. 1 trillion in cash supply

 

Pakistan witnesses a decline of approximately Rs. 1 trillion in cash supply

Cash reserves in Pakistan have seen a decrease of roughly Rs. 1 trillion during the initial three months of the financial year 2023-24, as per the latest data from the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP).

"Almost Rs. 1 trillion fall in cash holdings in Pakistan in the last 3 months. According to the latest numbers, CiC is down from Rs. 9.2 trillion to Rs. 8.3 trillion in the last 3 months. CiC as a percentage of Money Supply and year-on-year growth basis also falling," stated CEO of Topline Securities, Mohammed Sohail.

 

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SBP data reveals that broad money (M2) decreased by Rs. 418 billion to Rs. 31.1 trillion in 1QFY24, indicating an overall supply contraction of 1.33 percent from Rs. 31.5 trillion at the end of FY23 (June).

The currency in circulation dropped by nearly Rs. 780 billion to Rs. 8.37 trillion in the first three months of FY24, marking an 8.5 percent decrease from Rs. 9.148 trillion, which was the total currency stock at the end of June FY23. Meanwhile, total deposits with local banks amounted to Rs. 22.3 trillion, with a CiC-to-bank deposit ratio of 37.5 percent.

 

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CiC as a percentage of Money Supply (M2) is at 27 percent, and according to trends witnessed in 1QFY24, CiC started falling after new Budget provisions activated a standard fee on cash withdrawals by non-filers, which probably drove people to hoard cash in banks.

The current property market slump coupled with the decline in 'wealth for tax avoidance' has likely caused a significant dip in the net stock of cash holdings.

Source: Pro Pakistani

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