Pakistani banks lead Asia-Pacific with strong Q4 stock returns

 

Pakistani banks achieve some of the highest stock returns in Asia Pacific region

Pakistani banks have outshone their Asia-Pacific counterparts by achieving some of the highest stock returns in the final quarter of 2023, fueled by a remarkable rally on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) that propelled the local benchmark index to unprecedented levels, as reported by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

Bank AL Habib Ltd. claimed the top spot in the quarterly ranking of the 15 best-performing bank stocks in the Asia-Pacific region, featured on S&P Global Market Intelligence for Q4 2023. Among the 11 Pakistani banks on the list, Bank Al Habib recorded the highest total returns, reaching 89.96% for the quarter. Overall, Pakistani banks secured four out of the top five positions in the ranking.

 

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Pakistan's Askari Bank Ltd. secured the second position with total stock returns of 59.48%, followed by Habib Metropolitan Bank Ltd. and Faysal Bank Ltd., with returns of 51.56% and 48.85%, respectively. Indonesia’s PT Bank Jago Tbk claimed the fifth position with total returns of 43.56% in the October-to-December quarter.

According to Awais Ashraf, Director at Akseer Research, the ongoing rally in Pakistan's stocks is expected to persist due to anticipated monetary easing, a stable currency, and improved governance post-elections. Ashraf emphasized that key sectors listed on the PSX, such as energy firms engaged in exploration and production and banks, are poised to benefit significantly from government restrictions imposed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) as part of a bailout package.

 

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The PSX emerged as one of the top-performing bourses in the region in Q4, following the staff-level agreement reached with Pakistan by the IMF in November 2023 on the first review of a $3 billion stand-by arrangement. Pending approval from the IMF's executive board, the review provided the Pakistani government access to approximately $700 million in funding.

The stock rally also bolstered investor confidence amid the government's economic reform initiatives as part of the IMF loan program, contributing to a reduction in economic uncertainties. The PSX's benchmark index, the KSE 100, witnessed a surge of over 35% in the fourth quarter of 2023, closing at 62,451.04.

 

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Pakistan's economy showcased signs of improvement, reflected in the latest gross domestic product figures, with a 2.13% growth in the July-September 2023 quarter, a significant rebound from a 2.7% contraction in the previous quarter, according to estimates by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics. The IMF projected a 2.5% GDP growth for Pakistan in 2024 following an expected 0.5% contraction in 2023.

Apart from Bank AL Habib, other Pakistani banks featured in the ranking include Meezan Bank Ltd., MCB Bank Ltd., National Bank of Pakistan, United Bank Ltd., Standard Chartered Bank (Pakistan) Ltd., Bank Alfalah Ltd., and Habib Bank Ltd., along with India-based The Karur Vysya Bank Ltd. and CSB Bank Ltd.

 

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In contrast, Chinese banks dominated the list of 15 worst-performing Asia-Pacific bank stocks by total returns in the most recent quarter, with eight out of the 15 slots. The remaining positions were occupied by banks from India, Australia, Vietnam, New Zealand, Japan, and Indonesia. Notably, Shengjing Bank Co. Ltd. experienced the most significant decline, with a 85.66% drop, followed by Jilin Jiutai Rural Commercial Bank Corporation Ltd. and Bank of Gansu Co. Ltd. with declines of 51.83% and 39.66%, respectively, according to data from Market Intelligence. The decline in Chinese banks' stocks was in line with the overall performance of local stock exchanges, such as the Shanghai Stock Exchange's SSE Composite Index, which fell over 4% during the quarter.

Source: Pro Pakistani

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