Staff-level agreement reached between Pakistan, IMF to unlock $1.3bn

Pakistan had previously requested $1 billion from the IMF’s Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RSF) in October
 

Pakistan and IMF reach staff-level deal to unlock $1.3bn in climate financing

The Pakistani government has reached an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for a new $1.3 billion climate resilience loan and has also agreed on the first review of the ongoing 37-month bailout program, the IMF announced on Tuesday.

Subject to board approval, Pakistan will be able to access the $1.3 billion under a new climate resilience loan program, which spans 28 months. This deal will also unlock $1 billion under the existing $7 billion bailout program, bringing total disbursements to $2 billion.

Pakistan had previously requested $1 billion from the IMF’s Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RSF) in October. The RSF funding is available to countries that commit to high-quality reforms aimed at building resilience against climate-related disasters. The loan is repayable over 30 years, including a 10-year grace period, and typically offers more favorable terms than an Extended Fund Facility (EFF), such as the $7 billion loan program Pakistan is currently under.

 

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Secured in mid-2024, the IMF-backed bailout program has been vital in stabilizing Pakistan's economy, with the government indicating the country is on track for long-term recovery.

“Over the past 18 months, Pakistan has made significant progress in restoring macroeconomic stability and rebuilding confidence despite a challenging global environment,” said the IMF in a statement.

Upon approval by the IMF board, Pakistan will gain access to approximately $1 billion under the EFF, bringing total disbursements under the program to $2 billion.

Inflation is expected to remain stable in March, hovering around 1-1.5%, according to the finance ministry's monthly economic outlook, after falling to its lowest level in nearly a decade the previous month. Inflation has been steadily decreasing, dropping to 1.5% in February from around 40% in May 2023.

The government has stated that Pakistan's $350 billion economy has stabilized under the $7 billion IMF bailout, which has helped the country avoid a default crisis.

“While economic growth remains moderate, inflation has declined to its lowest level since 2015, financial conditions have improved, sovereign spreads have narrowed significantly, and external balances are stronger,” the IMF noted in its assessment of Pakistan.

 

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The government had been awaiting the IMF’s approval of the first review of the bailout and the disbursement of $1 billion ahead of the annual budget, typically presented in June.

However, the IMF also highlighted potential risks to Pakistan’s macroeconomic stability, including geopolitical shocks to commodity prices, tightening global financial conditions, and rising protectionism. These risks could undermine Pakistan's hard-won economic stability.

Source: Dawn

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